ICARUS EXPECTANCY

Is your edge mathematically viable?

Win rate, risk-reward and risk per trade decide whether a strategy compounds or bleeds. See the expected equity, expectancy per trade and survivability of your system. No account required.

Starting capital$Total trading capitalRisk per trade%% of equity at risk per tradeWin rate%Share of trades that winRisk : reward: RReward per unit of risk (1 : R)Number of tradesProjection horizon

Strong edge

POSITIVE

Mathematically robust. Profitability is a question of consistent execution, not of the numbers.

Expected equity$1,146after 10 trades

Expected return+14.6%on starting capital

Expectancy / trade0.46R≈ $14 / trade

Profit factor2.04gross profit ÷ gross loss

Survivability72 / 100edge × drawdown resistance

Mean trajectory under fixed-fractional risk. A real account is noisier — this is the average path the math implies, not a promise.

Indicative simulation only. Markets are path-dependent. Risk can exceed estimates.

Understanding expectancy is not enough. Execution determines results.

Explore Execution Protocol

Get notified when new free and premium tools are released.

Is your edge mathematically viable?

Strategy parameters

Strong edge

Projected over the horizon

Expected capital trajectory

Execution determines results.

Building tools for disciplined traders.